Warren Hogan: The Economist Who Outperformed the Consensus.
2024 AFR Forecaster of the Year | Former Chief Economist, ANZ
Most economists live in theory. Warren Hogan lives in the market.
For three decades, Warren has stood at the coalface of the world’s largest financial markets. As the former Chief Economist of ANZ Banking Group and Credit Suisse, and a Principal Advisor to the Australian Federal Treasury, he hasn’t just observed the economy – he has shaped the strategies of global banks, sovereign funds, and trading floors.
He founded EQ Economics to bring this institutional-grade firepower to Australian business leaders who are tired of generic, “two-handed” advice.
Why 2026 Requires Warren’s View:
He is battle-tested in the “Fire Pit”: Warren spent years as an interest rate strategist on global trading floors. In that environment, a bad forecast isn’t an opinion – it’s a financial loss. This “fire pit of risk” forged a forecasting style that is clinical, commercial, and decisive.
He rejects the Consensus: Warren was named the AFR’s Inaugural Forecaster of the Year (2024) because he saw the signals the crowd missed. When others predict a soft landing, Warren looks at the data – not the sentiment.
He speaks “Boardroom,” not “Academic”: Having advised the C-Suite of Australia’s largest institutions, Warren knows that an economic briefing is useless unless it translates into a decision on the balance sheet.